South Korea’s birth rate has become a national emergency - FT中文网
登录×
电子邮件/用户名
密码
记住我
请输入邮箱和密码进行绑定操作:
请输入手机号码,通过短信验证(目前仅支持中国大陆地区的手机号):
请您阅读我们的用户注册协议隐私权保护政策,点击下方按钮即视为您接受。
人口

South Korea’s birth rate has become a national emergency

The country’s twin expenses of education and housing is putting young couples off having children
00:00

{"text":[[{"start":12.27,"text":"The writer is a professor of law at Seoul National University "}],[{"start":16.29,"text":"South Korea has beaten its own record once again. "},{"start":19.682,"text":"The country has registered a new low in its already faltering birth rate. "},{"start":23.549,"text":"The rate for 2023 was just 0.72. "},{"start":26.942,"text":"This is an unprecedented number in the global community (the average for OECD countries was 1.58 in 2021). "}],[{"start":35.09,"text":"At the current pace, the South Korean population will be halved by 2100 to just 24mn. "},{"start":41.557,"text":"In 2022, 249,000 babies were born. "},{"start":45.574000000000005,"text":"For the country’s labour market to function, South Korea needs 500,000 babies a year at a minimum. "},{"start":51.404,"text":"It is operating at half that figure. "}],[{"start":53.940000000000005,"text":"And don’t forget that this is the scorecard after the injection of around $247bn by the government since 2006. "},{"start":61.382000000000005,"text":"A host of childcare vouchers and direct grants have not had the desired impact. "}],[{"start":66.45,"text":"It was as long ago as 2005 that the birth rate of 1.2 first startled South Korea, causing the government to realise the extent of the problem and begin working on it. "},{"start":75.879,"text":"The Presidential Committee on Ageing Society and Population Policy was established. "},{"start":80.409,"text":"It is still at the helm of national policy. "},{"start":82.93900000000001,"text":"But despite these efforts, South Korea has reached a point where the problem is becoming more of a national emergency. "}],[{"start":90.07000000000001,"text":"The short-sighted, small-family campaigns of the 1970s and 80s played a role in the current predicament — “One child per family is still too many for Korea” was the slogan then. "},{"start":99.924,"text":"But experts agree that there are two outstanding culprits today: the exorbitant cost of education and housing. "},{"start":105.76700000000001,"text":"Fearful of these twin expenses, young couples have not dared to have and raise children. "}],[{"start":110.94000000000001,"text":"The government may be able to find a way to deal with the housing issue. "},{"start":114.61900000000001,"text":"Agencies can control housing prices through taxation and construction permits, and offer preferential packages to families with young children through special laws and regulation. "},{"start":123.77400000000002,"text":"It is difficult and costly, of course, but doable. "}],[{"start":128.25,"text":"When it comes to schooling, however, things are different. "},{"start":131.717,"text":"A huge number of South Korean children attend private teaching institutions, regardless of whether they also go to public schools. "},{"start":138.50900000000001,"text":"In 2022, South Korea registered its highest tuition expenditure for private education yet, spending almost $20bn. "},{"start":146.227,"text":"This number does not even show the full picture; there are myriad associated costs, such as those of books, materials, counselling fees and food. "}],[{"start":155.4,"text":"It is therefore not uncommon for families in Seoul to spend a significant portion of their monthly household income on private education. "},{"start":162.429,"text":"According to a December 2023 report released by the Federation of Korean Industries, 26 per cent of the drastic drop in birth rates between 2015 and 2022 was attributed to the prohibitive cost of private education for potential parents. "}],[{"start":176.74,"text":"This problem is difficult to fix because it is so intertwined with the country’s culture. "},{"start":181.382,"text":"South Korean society is deeply competitive. "},{"start":184.24900000000002,"text":"This will take time to change. "},{"start":185.979,"text":"In the meantime, artificial intelligence and digitalisation may have a role to play in reducing the cost of private education. "}],[{"start":193.38,"text":"AI-enabled education programmes could replace conventional, late-night in-person cramming at teaching institutions. "},{"start":199.984,"text":"Digitalisation could help make private education more accessible for poorer families. "},{"start":204.514,"text":"Of course, both moves have their own perils — the possibility that they might engender further competition between children is an important concern. "},{"start":212.007,"text":"But with planning, these side-effects can be curbed. "}],[{"start":215.95,"text":"Many countries are witnessing a decline in birth rates. "},{"start":219.304,"text":"Earlier this month, France, alarmed by the lowest birth rate in almost three decades in 2023 — at 1.68 compared with South Korea’s 0.72 — announced a major reform to its parental leave system. "},{"start":231.797,"text":"But while South Korea may not be unique in facing this problem, or in attempting to tackle its causes, it stands alone in just how bad things have become. "}],[{"start":239.97,"text":""}]],"url":"https://creatives.ftacademy.cn/album/140111-1706575112.mp3"}

版权声明:本文版权归FT中文网所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。

摩根大通认清央行政治化是个坏主意

在特朗普与美联储的博弈中,事关的不只是货币政策。

美国企业遭遇反印裔情绪冲击

在白宫改革技术工人签证后,美国国内针对南亚裔的种族主义言论有所增加。

印度炼油商从委内瑞拉事件中看到机遇

美国政府干预以推翻马杜罗并控制委内瑞拉能源资源的举动,为印度炼油商重新获得委内瑞拉石油打开了大门。

一周展望:通胀数据会否打乱美联储降息计划?

本周的数据还可能证明中国的贸易顺差将创下新高,这将引起中国与美国以外国家的紧张。

投资额达10亿美元的沙特主题乐园开幕

在多项宏大基建计划屡遭挫折之后,奇迪亚六旗乐园的落成令该国统治者倍感振奋。

北欧国家驳斥特朗普关于中俄舰船出现在格陵兰周边的说法

随着特朗普关于夺取格陵兰的言论日益强硬,他把这些舰船当作论据提出。
设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×