The precious metal feeding frenzy - FT中文网
登录×
电子邮件/用户名
密码
记住我
请输入邮箱和密码进行绑定操作:
请输入手机号码,通过短信验证(目前仅支持中国大陆地区的手机号):
请您阅读我们的用户注册协议隐私权保护政策,点击下方按钮即视为您接受。
观点 金融市场

The precious metal feeding frenzy

Gold and silver are on a tear but buyer beware . . .  
00:00

{"text":[[{"start":null,"text":"

Gold is taking an unusual amount of the strain, and pulling silver along for the ride, as investors fear other more mainstream assets are losing their reliability
"}],[{"start":5.98,"text":"Britons, we are frequently told, just don’t have it in us to risk our hard-earned cash on spicy endeavours such as speculating on stock markets. Unlike our American cousins, we are supposedly too timid, too risk averse, much happier parking our funds in safe, boring bank deposits for a measly return."}],[{"start":29.41,"text":"There is a grain of truth here. But try telling it to the Royal Mint, which sells gold and silver coins and bars to the nation. Earlier this week, it broke its daily record for online bullion sales. Demand for plastic tubes filled with silver Britannia coins is, it tells me, “huge”. Unprecedented numbers of people are seeking out its guidance, and the website has had to post apologies for any delays in service as the system creaks under the weight. So much for leaving money festering in the bank."}],[{"start":62.040000000000006,"text":"Once again, the UK is in the grip of a global feeding frenzy in precious metals. It is easy to see why. "}],[{"start":70.53,"text":"Silver, gold’s scrappier little cousin, which rarely enjoys any time in the public eye, has been the breakout star of global markets in 2026. It blasted 150 per cent higher last year, taking out the previous record of $50 an ounce with ease. This January, though, it has gone truly bonkers, adding a further 50 per cent in price to well above $100. No wonder Britons have Fomo."}],[{"start":101.07,"text":"To a large extent, the silver price is playing catch-up with gold, which has been on its own spectacular tear, taking its price as high as $5,300 an ounce."}],[{"start":113.86999999999999,"text":"The power behind these extraordinary market moves comes from a heady combination of both fear and greed."}],[{"start":122.30999999999999,"text":"The fear is that other more mainstream assets are losing their reliability. The US dollar, of course, is under heavy pressure almost across the board, hitting its lowest point against sterling — supposedly a crisis candidate itself — since 2021 and crumbling against the Swiss franc, one of the last refuges in the system for many. With Japan’s yen vacating its usual haven role due to the perception that the central bank there is a step behind inflation, gold is taking an unusual amount of the strain, and pulling silver along for the ride. "}],[{"start":158.58999999999997,"text":"This is drawing in investors of all stripes, including central banks. Last month, Poland’s central bank trumpeted its role as a leading buyer of gold, describing it as “the only reliable national reserve asset” in “the search for a new financial order”."}],[{"start":178.46999999999997,"text":"The beauty of precious metals, unencumbered by the usual valuation metrics like cash flow, dividends or interest payments, is that you can paint your own adventure on to them and construct a kaleidoscope of reasons to buy. For some, it is an alternative to bonds, which are compromised by waves of new government borrowing and the still-present risk that the US central bank will, under Donald Trump, allow inflation to run hot."}],[{"start":212.11999999999998,"text":"For others, it is an escape from overly large allocations to US stocks. Many wealthy investors, especially in the Middle East and Asia, find it a huge psychological hurdle to lean out of the US and into Europe. “It’s like climbing Everest,” said Geraldine Sundstrom at Pictet Wealth Management. Precious metals present less of a mental leap."}],[{"start":235.96999999999997,"text":"But it’s not just seeking diversity from core US assets at play here. As the rampant traffic at the Royal Mint suggests, swiftly rising prices have generated their own momentum, similar to the meme stock craze in the US in 2021. Curiously, bitcoin is not invited along to this particular dollar debasement party, with that speculation seemingly ending up here instead. A lot of this appears to be underpinned by borrowed money, or leverage."}],[{"start":266.51,"text":"“You don’t see price action like this unless there’s leverage involved,” said Fredrik Repton at investment house Neuberger Berman. The amount of gold and even more so, silver, that is available to trade, is actually pretty small, especially with unusually high levels of stockpiling ahead of US potential tariffs. Debt-fuelled, retail-heavy, Fomo-driven moves into illiquid assets do have a habit of creating parabolic market ascents (and, buyer beware, some painful pullbacks)."}],[{"start":301.03999999999996,"text":"What can break the spell? One thing would be a return to normal US financial policy — a belief in currency stability, a robust Federal Reserve, predictable regimes and prudent borrowing. An outbreak of common sense. So let’s safely assume that’s not going to happen any time soon. A more plausible test would come from a drop in stocks, for any reason, that prompted marginal gold and silver buyers to close out debt-funded bets."}],[{"start":331.91999999999996,"text":"Until then, fortune favours both those thinking big thoughts about US institutional resiliency, and punters snapping up tubes of silver coins on their phones."}],[{"start":351.24999999999994,"text":""}]],"url":"https://audio.ftcn.net.cn/album/a_1769763917_2390.mp3"}

版权声明:本文版权归FT中文网所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。

侯赛因•塔伊布:帮伊朗最高领袖穆杰塔巴巩固国内控制的强硬派神职人员

一度被边缘化的塔伊布,如今获新任最高领袖提拔,负责领导革命卫队旗下权力大增的巴斯基民兵组织。

恒大索赔案对“四大”意味着什么?

香港法院允许中国恒大清盘人将审计失责索赔追至普华永道全球网络核心机构,“四大”以成员所法律独立隔离风险的传统架构由此面临考验。

厄尔尼诺对全球粮食体系的威胁迫在眉睫

世界必须为农业领域反复受到重大冲击做更好的准备。

四名俄罗斯银行家如何从欧盟制裁中牟利

俄罗斯因乌克兰战争遭到西方反制而陷入震荡之际,俄罗斯天然气工业银行卢森堡分行的俄罗斯高管却从中获利。

Lex专栏:贸易阻滞让集装箱航运业获喘息之机

海上运输受阻以及陆路运输瓶颈,正将运价推高至远超行业盈亏平衡线的水平。

温水煮青蛙式的美国债务危机

不断上升的赤字和偿债成本似乎已不再具有让财政恢复审慎的力量。
设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×