Silver market seen as ripe for another price squeeze - FT中文网
登录×
电子邮件/用户名
密码
记住我
请输入邮箱和密码进行绑定操作:
请输入手机号码,通过短信验证(目前仅支持中国大陆地区的手机号)。如果该手机号尚未注册,将自动创建 FT中文网账号。短信可能需要几分钟送达,验证码15分钟内有效,请耐心等待:
请您阅读我们的用户注册协议和隐私权保护政策,点击下方按钮即视为您接受。
贵金属

Silver market seen as ripe for another price squeeze

Precious metal hit by huge price volatility and is set for sixth straight year of deficit, according to World Silver Survey
00:00

{"text":[[{"start":8.23,"text":"The global silver market is ripe for another “squeeze” that could send the price soaring, as low stockpiles and six consecutive years of production shortages create the conditions for big moves, according to the authors of a report."}],[{"start":24.43,"text":"The precious metal has rocketed to a succession of record highs late last year and early this year — peaking at $121 per ounce in January — but has also suffered sharp plunges in highly volatile trading. "}],[{"start":40.36,"text":"The market is forecast to suffer its sixth straight year of deficit in 2026, with total demand outpacing supply, according to the World Silver Survey, published by consultancy Metals Focus and industry body the Silver Institute."}],[{"start":58.8,"text":"“The conditions are certainly there for another squeeze,” said Philip Newman, managing director of Metals Focus. “We don’t know how long it will last for, but I don’t think it is necessarily all behind us.”"}],[{"start":72.44,"text":"In October, strong demand from India as a result of its festive season triggered chaos in the London market and pushed prices to then-record highs above $50 per ounce. "}],[{"start":85.37,"text":"That squeeze was caused in part by low available inventories in London vaults due to years of market deficits combined with strong buying by silver exchange traded funds, which reduced the amount of metal freely available."}],[{"start":null,"text":"

Column chart of silver market balance (mn oz) showing that the silver market is in its sixth straight year of deficit
"}],[{"start":101.36,"text":"While silver prices are often correlated with gold, there are differences that make silver prices more volatile. Silver is not generally held by central banks, so there is no lender or seller of last resort, and more than half of the demand for silver is for industrial applications such as solar panels and electronics, leaving it exposed to fluctuating demand for these products. "}],[{"start":128.95,"text":"Last year, global silver demand fell 2 per cent, as surging prices triggered a reduction in industrial and jewellery demand. The fall was particularly pronounced in solar panels, where demand fell 6 per cent, as manufacturers opted for other metals instead of silver due to its high price."}],[{"start":151.33999999999997,"text":"The decline in industrial demand for silver last year more than offset a surge in investment demand, with bar and coin purchases up 14 per cent and net investment in silver exchange traded products tripling, according to the report."}],[{"start":null,"text":"
Line chart of Silver futures, $ per oz, showing Silver prices spike
"}],[{"start":168.57999999999998,"text":"Silver supply rose 7 per cent due to increases in both mining and recycling. This was still not enough to meet demand, causing a reduction in global stock levels, although the deficit was smaller than in previous years, according to the report."}],[{"start":184.32999999999998,"text":"“Tightness will not be constant, but liquidity will generally be thinner, lease rates more volatile and price moves likely to be larger than investors have grown used to,” said the report."}],[{"start":196.52999999999997,"text":"Silver’s huge price swings are expected to further damp industrial demand this year."}],[{"start":203.05999999999997,"text":"Solar demand for silver is forecast to drop 19 per cent this year and jewellery demand by 16 per cent, according to the report."}],[{"start":212.98999999999998,"text":"“The high prices of 2026 will prompt silver to subsequently be somewhat the victim of its own success,” it added. Nevertheless, it still forecasts a market deficit of about 46mn ounces this year. "}],[{"start":236.85999999999999,"text":""}]],"url":"https://audio.ftcn.net.cn/album/a_1776323197_5975.mp3"}

版权声明:本文版权归FT中文网所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。

一周展望:美联储会释放加息信号吗?

投资者还将关注欧洲央行是否会对法国的局势采取行动,以及日本央行是否会明确支持市场对利率路径的预期。

学生担心AI即将毁掉他们的未来

大型科技企业引发的变革,及其对就业前景的影响日益令年轻人感到焦虑和愤怒。

FT民调:美国选民担忧特朗普执政期间的腐败问题

随着中期选举临近,美国人将腐败与生活负担危机联系起来。

丰田在人形机器人竞赛中迎战特斯拉和中国

丰田正将二十年来在机器人领域的研发成果商业化,进军智能机器人市场,并与特斯拉、小鹏和现代展开竞争。

空客将与贝宜系统就参与全球作战空中计划战机项目展开谈判

与法国、西班牙的竞争性未来空战系统(FCAS)合作项目破裂后,德国正考虑加入英国、意大利和日本的项目。

奥迪将在美国建厂,投资40亿美元以应对关税

这项举措是在特朗普于佐治亚州举行的集会上宣布的,正值这家汽车制造商及其母公司大众寻求减轻总统加征关税的压力。
设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×