Lessons from Germany’s (entirely predictable) UN Security Council defeat - FT中文网
登录×
电子邮件/用户名
密码
记住我
请输入邮箱和密码进行绑定操作:
请输入手机号码,通过短信验证(目前仅支持中国大陆地区的手机号):
请您阅读我们的用户注册协议隐私权保护政策,点击下方按钮即视为您接受。
德国政治

Lessons from Germany’s (entirely predictable) UN Security Council defeat

In a world of aggressive great powers, middle powers must learn to forge alliances
00:00

{"text":[[{"start":8.15,"text":"The writer directs the Center on the US and Europe at the Brookings Institution"}],[{"start":12.55,"text":"It is not hard to mock the resounding defeat of Germany’s bid for a seat on the UN’s Security Council. One commentator called it a foreign policy Gesamtkunstwerk, a total work of art. The term was popularised by Richard Wagner for his revolutionary synthesis of music, visual art, design and architecture. But you get the idea: big, loud and tragic."}],[{"start":36.85,"text":"The executive organ of the UN has five permanent members (the US, Russia, China, France and the UK) and 10 rotating non-permanent members, elected for two-year terms in the General Assembly from among the other 188 member states, grouped by region. This most recent election was for the 2027-28 period, and two of the five seats up for election were allotted to the so-called Western European and Other States group."}],[{"start":63.05,"text":"Regional groups often agree on candidates to maximise their chances. The countries that enter the race sometimes campaign for these seats for more than a decade, lobbying every single member state. Yet Germany went in years after Portugal and Austria had already declared. It would have needed at least 127 votes. Last week, Berlin was beaten with 104 votes to Lisbon’s 134 and Vienna’s 131."}],[{"start":89.9,"text":"But, as my grandfather liked to say: “Must we cry?” The rivals deserved their wins. Portugal expertly leverages its relations with former colonies in Africa, Asia and South America to punch above its weight internationally (UN secretary-general António Guterres and European Council president António Costa are both Portuguese); its recognition of Palestinian statehood is likely to have added to support in the global south. Austria is the Schrödinger’s cat of diplomacy, discreetly supporting Israel and Ukraine while touting its constitutional neutrality to the non-western world."}],[{"start":125.10000000000001,"text":"Germany, meanwhile, appears to have presumed too much and not tried hard enough. It is the fourth-largest funder of the UN, the world’s third-largest economy and Europe’s largest. It has won each of its six previous Security Council bids and has long argued that its stature ought to merit a permanent seat. Its campaign slogan was “Respect, Justice, Peace”, but Chancellor Friedrich Merz did not even show up at September’s annual General Assembly meeting to work the room. Austria sent its president, chancellor and foreign minister. So much for respect."}],[{"start":158.25,"text":"As for justice, Berlin prides itself on being a staunch defender of international institutions and law, of right over might. But it has made significant cuts to development and humanitarian aid. And Merz — who has a tendency to think after speaking — has refused to condemn US strikes against Venezuela (he called them legally “complex”) and said Israel was “doing the dirty work for us” with strikes on Iran."}],[{"start":182.6,"text":"And peace is an elusive goal in a moment when Russia, China and Donald Trump’s US are vying to reshape the global order to their liking through coercion and military force. Germany is re-arming at speed and is now Ukraine’s biggest national provider of military aid; allegations of a Kremlin campaign against Berlin’s candidature for the Security Council are entirely plausible."}],[{"start":208.15,"text":"Berlin’s defeat at the UN, however, is rooted in a larger dilemma. Before his election, Merz gave a speech in which he said he wanted Germany to become “a leading middle power”. But the remark famously attributed to Henry Kissinger — “poor old Germany: too big for Europe, too small for the world” — is if anything truer today than during his lifetime."}],[{"start":229.65,"text":"Russia regularly blocks the Security Council with vetoes, while China has been working assiduously to gain power and the ability to set standards in UN institutions. The US announced in January that it would retrench or retreat from more than 60 international bodies; the Board of Peace, Trump’s ersatz Security Council, is bereft of funds. Germany’s diplomats, meanwhile, invoke “multilateralism” like a mantra."}],[{"start":255.20000000000002,"text":"To navigate (never mind lead) in a world of aggressive great powers, a middle power like Germany must learn to forge alliances, especially with countries that do not share its values and interests. Berlin does actually have a group of like-minded allies in the EU — but then it would have to concentrate on solving problems within the bloc, rather than elbowing out smaller member states in pursuit of empty prestige."}],[{"start":280.85,"text":"Respect, Justice, Peace: nice work if you can get it. But meanwhile maybe Germany should give generosity, consistency, humility a try."}],[{"start":298.15000000000003,"text":""}]],"url":"https://audio.ftcn.net.cn/album/a_1781049602_6898.mp3"}

版权声明:本文版权归FT中文网所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。

巴西昔日石棉小镇期待稀土带来新活力

位于巴西腹地深处的小镇米纳苏,成为美国在稀土领域摆脱中国主导地位计划的关键部分。

Z世代用TikTok拯救父母的时装店

Z世代用TikTok等社交媒体为父母经营的时装店吸引年轻顾客,帮助其走出困境。

加拿大企业担心特朗普关税引发“下行压力漩涡”

美加贸易战再起,与美国有业务往来的加拿大企业承受痛苦,面临不确定性。

FT社评:美财政部干预债券市场只是权宜之计

贝森特在日元和长期债券方面的举措,只能暂时缓解问题,无法解决政策可信度不足和债务过高的问题。

Lex专栏:希音首次公开募股推介应更多借鉴Meta而非H&M

它的竞争对手不只是服装零售商,还应包括任何为沉迷屏幕的用户带来多巴胺刺激的企业。

气候如何推动新的地缘战略?

环境变化正在重塑贸易、商业、物流和地缘政治。
设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×