Lessons from Germany’s (entirely predictable) UN Security Council defeat - FT中文网
登录×
电子邮件/用户名
密码
记住我
请输入邮箱和密码进行绑定操作:
请输入手机号码,通过短信验证(目前仅支持中国大陆地区的手机号)。如果该手机号尚未注册,将自动创建 FT中文网账号。短信可能需要几分钟送达,验证码15分钟内有效,请耐心等待:
请您阅读我们的用户注册协议和隐私权保护政策,点击下方按钮即视为您接受。
德国政治

Lessons from Germany’s (entirely predictable) UN Security Council defeat

In a world of aggressive great powers, middle powers must learn to forge alliances
00:00

{"text":[[{"start":8.15,"text":"The writer directs the Center on the US and Europe at the Brookings Institution"}],[{"start":12.55,"text":"It is not hard to mock the resounding defeat of Germany’s bid for a seat on the UN’s Security Council. One commentator called it a foreign policy Gesamtkunstwerk, a total work of art. The term was popularised by Richard Wagner for his revolutionary synthesis of music, visual art, design and architecture. But you get the idea: big, loud and tragic."}],[{"start":36.85,"text":"The executive organ of the UN has five permanent members (the US, Russia, China, France and the UK) and 10 rotating non-permanent members, elected for two-year terms in the General Assembly from among the other 188 member states, grouped by region. This most recent election was for the 2027-28 period, and two of the five seats up for election were allotted to the so-called Western European and Other States group."}],[{"start":63.05,"text":"Regional groups often agree on candidates to maximise their chances. The countries that enter the race sometimes campaign for these seats for more than a decade, lobbying every single member state. Yet Germany went in years after Portugal and Austria had already declared. It would have needed at least 127 votes. Last week, Berlin was beaten with 104 votes to Lisbon’s 134 and Vienna’s 131."}],[{"start":89.9,"text":"But, as my grandfather liked to say: “Must we cry?” The rivals deserved their wins. Portugal expertly leverages its relations with former colonies in Africa, Asia and South America to punch above its weight internationally (UN secretary-general António Guterres and European Council president António Costa are both Portuguese); its recognition of Palestinian statehood is likely to have added to support in the global south. Austria is the Schrödinger’s cat of diplomacy, discreetly supporting Israel and Ukraine while touting its constitutional neutrality to the non-western world."}],[{"start":125.10000000000001,"text":"Germany, meanwhile, appears to have presumed too much and not tried hard enough. It is the fourth-largest funder of the UN, the world’s third-largest economy and Europe’s largest. It has won each of its six previous Security Council bids and has long argued that its stature ought to merit a permanent seat. Its campaign slogan was “Respect, Justice, Peace”, but Chancellor Friedrich Merz did not even show up at September’s annual General Assembly meeting to work the room. Austria sent its president, chancellor and foreign minister. So much for respect."}],[{"start":158.25,"text":"As for justice, Berlin prides itself on being a staunch defender of international institutions and law, of right over might. But it has made significant cuts to development and humanitarian aid. And Merz — who has a tendency to think after speaking — has refused to condemn US strikes against Venezuela (he called them legally “complex”) and said Israel was “doing the dirty work for us” with strikes on Iran."}],[{"start":182.6,"text":"And peace is an elusive goal in a moment when Russia, China and Donald Trump’s US are vying to reshape the global order to their liking through coercion and military force. Germany is re-arming at speed and is now Ukraine’s biggest national provider of military aid; allegations of a Kremlin campaign against Berlin’s candidature for the Security Council are entirely plausible."}],[{"start":208.15,"text":"Berlin’s defeat at the UN, however, is rooted in a larger dilemma. Before his election, Merz gave a speech in which he said he wanted Germany to become “a leading middle power”. But the remark famously attributed to Henry Kissinger — “poor old Germany: too big for Europe, too small for the world” — is if anything truer today than during his lifetime."}],[{"start":229.65,"text":"Russia regularly blocks the Security Council with vetoes, while China has been working assiduously to gain power and the ability to set standards in UN institutions. The US announced in January that it would retrench or retreat from more than 60 international bodies; the Board of Peace, Trump’s ersatz Security Council, is bereft of funds. Germany’s diplomats, meanwhile, invoke “multilateralism” like a mantra."}],[{"start":255.20000000000002,"text":"To navigate (never mind lead) in a world of aggressive great powers, a middle power like Germany must learn to forge alliances, especially with countries that do not share its values and interests. Berlin does actually have a group of like-minded allies in the EU — but then it would have to concentrate on solving problems within the bloc, rather than elbowing out smaller member states in pursuit of empty prestige."}],[{"start":280.85,"text":"Respect, Justice, Peace: nice work if you can get it. But meanwhile maybe Germany should give generosity, consistency, humility a try."}],[{"start":298.15000000000003,"text":""}]],"url":"https://audio.ftcn.net.cn/album/a_1781049602_6898.mp3"}

版权声明:本文版权归FT中文网所有,未经允许任何单位或个人不得转载,复制或以任何其他方式使用本文全部或部分,侵权必究。

学生担心AI即将毁掉他们的未来

大型科技企业引发的变革,及其对就业前景的影响日益令年轻人感到焦虑和愤怒。

FT民调:美国选民担忧特朗普执政期间的腐败问题

随着中期选举临近,美国人将腐败与生活负担危机联系起来。

丰田在人形机器人竞赛中迎战特斯拉和中国

丰田正将二十年来在机器人领域的研发成果商业化,进军智能机器人市场,并与特斯拉、小鹏和现代展开竞争。

空客将与贝宜系统就参与全球作战空中计划战机项目展开谈判

与法国、西班牙的竞争性未来空战系统(FCAS)合作项目破裂后,德国正考虑加入英国、意大利和日本的项目。

一周展望:美联储会释放加息信号吗?

投资者还将关注欧洲央行是否会对法国的局势采取行动,以及日本央行是否会明确支持市场对利率路径的预期。
6小时前

奥迪将在美国建厂,投资40亿美元以应对关税

这项举措是在特朗普于佐治亚州举行的集会上宣布的,正值这家汽车制造商及其母公司大众寻求减轻总统加征关税的压力。
设置字号×
最小
较小
默认
较大
最大
分享×